Digital Twin-Enabled AQI Prediction Using a Hybrid TCN–RWKV Deep Learning Framework

Digital Twin-Enabled AQI Prediction Using a Hybrid TCN–RWKV Deep Learning Framework

Authors
Ritu Rani and Shreya Sharma
Published in
Vol 2, Issue 3, 2026

Abstract

Air Quality Index (AQI) forecasting is challenging because atmospheric pollution is governed by nonlinear pollutant interactions, temporal dependencies, meteorological conditions, missing observations, and abrupt emission events. This paper presents a Digital Twin (DT)-enabled deep learning framework for AQI prediction in which a virtual environmental state is continuously updated from real-world observations and supplied to a temporal prediction model. The proposed predictive engine combines a Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN) and RWKV-style sequence modeling with cross-attention to capture local temporal patterns, long-range dependencies, and feature interactions. The experimental configuration uses a 24-step sequence, an 80-epoch training schedule, and a DT-enhanced data generation/update pipeline. On the user's experimental results, the proposed model achieved MAE = 1.48095, RMSE = 1.57756 and R² = 0.995628 with the Digital Twin configuration, while the corresponding configuration without DT achieved MAE = 1.40353, RMSE = 1.55070 and R² = 0.999681. These results show that the present DT configuration does not improve the three reported numerical metrics, although it provides a richer virtual-state and scenario-analysis capability. The paper therefore treats Digital Twin integration as an architectural contribution rather than claiming unsupported predictive superiority. The framework is designed for real-time AQI monitoring, forecasting, pollution-event analysis, and future scenario simulation.